b’log v1.02: Friday night lights, and my LSU game pick…

I’ve found things rather interesting on the free-view football MB of late. Not only is Glenn Dorsey the mother of all, well, mothers’, the Official Prediction thread yielded some interesting results, as did another thread, and it’s up to me to pick a VT win, as no one else has from the TSL Staff…but Friday comes first…

If running the football is your thing, check out Navy at Rutgers tonight on plain ole regulation ESPN at 7pm. These two will give new meaning to Ground Chuck, and with good reason. As Rutgers features one of the best I-backs since the days of Nebraska and Mike Rozier, and Navy runs the Wishbone about as efficaciously as it can be run. The interesting part from week one is that the human-turnover machine also know as Rutgers Qb Mike Teel had an outstanding fist week, especially for being, well, Mike Teel. As a Qb, Mr. Teel reminds me of the days of Todd Greenwood, everything looks good, but beauty is only skin deep. If Mr. Teel can abstain from throwing passes to wide open Middie defenders, Rutgers should prevail via their deeper and stronger defense. S.Knights by a full play and change, (8-12 points).

Other locals…france has a tough time cracking 20 on the road under al deGroh. Recently, that’s been more like being capped by a triskaidekaphobia, or fear of scoring more than 13. But france does catch Duke in paris. That’s good enough for me, as Duke’s offense is still more than just challenged, and their defense has actually regressed from a decent enough 2006 stop-unit. france by double-digits.

wvu will mug Marshall. It’s that simple. If Marshall stays within 30, they will have won a Mountain State moral victory. The Herd let Miami of Florida run wild last week, wvu runs the football even better, possibly a lot better. wvu by at least my age, (38).

Now on to our epic out of conference, possibly overdue match-up, with LSU. Two threads yesterday explained quite a lot to me regarding this game. There were over 25 picks for LSU to win, and only an average of 200 yards of Total Offense predicted for our Hokies. Last year we faced a somewhat similar defense, on the road, at night, on national TV. The result? 139 yards of total offense vs. the Canes, including only 19 yards in the final 33 minutes of play. So if we can actually generate a bicentennial kind of offensive night, I’d actually like our chances to steal one down in Baton Rouge. As I kinda like a couple of items my spys have passed across my desk. First up, I like how my SEC spy is telling me that the LSU staff was not overly happy with Matt Flynn tucking the ball so often, (11 carries last week), and not working through his progressions. Flynn reminds me of a less skillful passing antediluvian version adam bednarik of wvu. Matt Flynn has decent enough wheels, while they are not quite Pirelli’s they are at least Goodyear quality. But Flynn does not quite have the speed to run vs. our track-meet quality defense. Nor does the LSU starting Rb (Hester). LSU has one legit WR by my count, we have 2 lock-down Corner’s. So I doubt LSU’s offense can score a lot on us. I’m also informed that we like what we see on film. That’s all I can give you.

But here’s the catch. I’m not sure we can top the 200 yard average forecasted by the TSL free-view MB yesterday, I’m not sure we can even top the aforementioned buck-39? In fact I’m not sure our offense will score down at LSU. But LSU won’t get a lot of scoreboard either. So a defensive play, and a ST’s play, might be enough to rob the Bayou Bengal bank, and Frank does play big names much better early in the season, compared to late October or the month of November. Roy Horn may not have tamed Monticore, but VT will. VT 16, LSU 10 in double OT (scoreless first OT, and the debut of you know who, if he does not debut, we get beat by at least 2 full plays, while being shutout).