Normally I don’t do this.
Recycling is so 1990’s special curbside white trash-bag to me.
As this typically also steals Will’s pay message board thunder a bit too much.
And that’s not fair to Will.
However, this one was so well done, so articulately broken down, so very science-fact objectively and fully backed-up in terms of the metrics and statistical research that freely gives this thoughtful of a post some real live reach –that a rehash is in order here.
And the credit is all Tiz’s…
As Michael Brewer is a lotta things, and he may just be more than you think,
as the game wears on…
Q. “1st down to 14th: …where do you rightfully rate M.Brewer as an A.c.c. Qb?“
A. “Check out ESPN’s statistical splits of Michael Brewer. Interesting numbers.“
http://espn.go.com/college-football/player/splits/_/id/514481/michael-brewer
“He (Michale Brewer) was a much better 2nd Half player in terms of TD/INT ratio. 4th Quarter in particular is when he makes much more of a difference on the scoreboard.
Also, he got much better month-by-month. Seeing that September was his worst month, and his accuracy got better along with (again) his TD/INT ratio.
The most telling stat is under “Field Position” where you’ll see that Brewer had 14 interceptions before crossing the opposing 40 yard line. Also, had a very high number of sacks in that same territory. I looked at other A.C.C. QB’s last year (i.e. Anthony Boone, Marquise Williams, Jacoby Brisset, Brad Kaaya, Jameis Winston, Chad Voytik, and others), and they don’t have anywhere NEAR the number of turnovers as Brewer had in their own territory. Well, except Jameis Winston — he had the worst numbers, but let’s not discuss Florida State right now.
His numbers aren’t too bad from top to bottom until you realize his issues passing by field position. He even had the most passing attempts in the ACC behind his own 20 yard line. You can thank VT’s lousy starting position, and most specifically kick returners constantly running out of the end zone on kick offs.
But the most impressive is also in that same section under field position.
Brewer is absolutely lethal when he’s passing on the opposing field across the 40 yard line. From there he’s only thrown one interception with 24 touchdowns! That’s impressive. Now obviously every QB will have better statistics when they’re throwing closer to the endzone on a much shorter side of the field. But get this, compared to the other A.C.C. QB’s I compared him with; his numbers are nearly similar to Jameis Winston (24/2). Here are other numbers from QBs passing on the opposing field (TD/INT):
Brad Kaaya: 25/7
Chad Voytik: 18/3
Jacoby Brissett: 30/2
Anthony Boone: 17/4
Marquise Williams: 21/4
Greyson Lambert: 11/5
John Wolford: 14/6
Cole Stoudt: 9/3
Tyler Murphy: 13/4 (but 10 rushing TDs)
Will Gardner: 16/0
Actually, now looking at it… Jacoby Brisset of NC State is absolutely a beast and Will Gardner of Louisville manage to throw zero INTs, but still 8 TDs behind Brewer.
- coachable,
- gamer,
- leader.
Just another way to look at Brewers stats from last year. He definitely got better as the season went on (coachable), more lethal as the game wore on (gamer), and more successful the further to team drive the football (leader).
But to answer b-st’s post, I think he’s probably 7th or 8th best in the conference last year. He was learning the offense on the fly, and admitted so in a few report this off-season. I expect him to make a huge jump this spring, and at the same get some a nice push from some young talented QBs looking to take his spot!” –VTizzle–
Loading ...Coach God and health permitting, if you ask me (bourbonstreet)?
I’d say my boy Michael Brewer is a legitimate Top-3 A.c.c. quarterback in 2015.
IF he does the following…
- 2,300. As in crack the 2.3k rushing barrier this season with improved carrying attempts from J.c.c. and a healthy Trey Edmunds. Maybe even mix in Travon McMillian or D.J. Reid; or in other words, let the guys with the bigger bodies (with apologies to #4 J.c.c.), take more of the bigger hits. M.Brewer sure seemed to play better -and much- when he was at least somewhat healthy, and somewhat mentally lucid in the pocket. And this just in… rain is rumored to be wet.
- Improve all the way up to 65th or better in TFL (tackles for a loss) allowed. As 87th in TFL in 2014 was no better than a trigger mechanism for long drive competitions or flat out teeing-off on poor #12, which segues poor Michael Brewer into obvious passing situations on second-n-long and third-n-further.
- Ditto finishing 2014 at 98th in Sacks allowed. Gotta move this metric into the habitable zone of at least an average pocket protection of 65th or best. Such is not other-worldly improvement, such is a Training Room necessity for any 6′ 199 lb. D-1 power-conference Qb.
- Negative play-side play-calling video room audit. Did we make some calls here that were just not in Micheal Brewer’s best self-interests? Why all deep side-line outs? Why all the slow developing plays? Why a play fake on 3rd and forever? Were there not at least a few calls that we could eliminate to elevate some of this physical shellacking that my boy had to take in ’14?
- Te’s! Bucky, Mallack, and Cline. Go Jumbo, go Elephant, go Te’s in the slot or maybe even on moonlighting at Wr. Get some bigger bodies in the huddle to create mismatches that draw the larger defenders further away from Michael Brewer via match-up design! (or did that one just make too much sense?)
Glazed doughnuts … 1o1 - Maturity or more precocious non t-freshman Wr’s, should only help.
- Learns to avoid *some* not all, some, contact; and self-protect. The glazed doughnut look where #12’s eyes used to be just does not cut it. Further, I’d love love love to see the Virginia Tech football video-room break tape and determine where the bigger or more impaction thermonuclear hits on my boy occurred? Were not more of them inflicted on poor M.Brewer under negative field-position (or Lo.FM©) conditions?Or in other words: slide, tuck, duck, dive and/or throw it away or get outta bounds! I’m told that my boy just plain ole loves playin’ some football! “Texas Forever”, wild-n-wooly as all get out. And that’s all well in good, unless you are getting separated (foreshadowing intended) from your senses in the process. As sources hint that Michael Brewer suffered at least the following injuries last year… wrist, one concussion (maybe two), jammed knee, bruised sternum (i.e. throwing up blood), shoulder-separation of the collarbone in his freaking passing-arm! This on top of a kid who had a pretty dang rough back-surgery that did have some complications at Texas Tech.
***
Let us try to remember what Falstaff said in King Henry the Fourth, Part One: “Discretion is the better part of valor.” -William Shakespeare-
Just a little, here-n-there. As we do not need to reinvent the angular Michael Brewer style of play wheel, although we do not wanna throw the Michael Brewer baby out with the O&M bath-water; either.
We do this and methinks -and strongly- Michael Brewer wins the Most Improved football player award for the Atlantic Coast conference hands down in 2015.
(and me also thinks he will be in the A.c.c. M.v.p. running in a hurry)
Michael Brewer 2014=C+ to middle of the pack, Michael Brewer 2015=Top-3
“LETS GO!”
“Hokies!”
bourbonstreet**
Add to the poor kick-off returns the number of punts that were never fielded and rolled deeper into VT territory.
Oh yes, no doubt, we could not wait to give away 5-10 yards like that.
Over the course of a game?
That’s code for FREE 1st-downs, plural.
b-street
Great write up guys!
I’m all in for our Texas Gunslinger & looking forward for the Spring practice sessions to develop 3 things to allow his game to reach his Texas size potential: 1) develop a deep ball threat 2) check down to the backs or delayed release from the tight end. 3) improved blocking by the O-Line. These last 2 will reduce the negative plays which plagued our offense.
Let’s Go…Hokies!!!
BEAT OSU!!!!!!! Again
2) I really thought Scot would do this. (I saw this no his Temple film); and we surely have the Tb talent to allow for this.
“gunslinger“<—–this!
Yah; that's a bull's-eye on more than just one level.
b.street
Actually, what Falstaff said was, “The better part of valor is discretion.” 🙂
Yah; I know. I was figuring most would not know; however.
(still seems like the most original source for that quote; however)
b.stret
“The quality of mercy shall not be strained; It falleth like rain from the heavens”.
Actually, the Georgia Tech game was the most telling about our most glaring weakness – special teams. Go back and look at that game film and you will see a comedy of errors that pretty much took the game from us.
Great write up. I really liked the portion where you talked about calling plays that don’t hurt our qbs production. One major thing you left out of terrible play-calling (which we finally did better last 2 games..by the way wins) was not going trips to one side of the field and rolling that way and only using 1/2 of the field. While pocket movement is something that needs to be used more, we cannot limit our passes to one side of the field with zero speed at the WR spot and our QB’s weakest asset is throwing a deep out.
I think it is safe to say that when our QB first touched the field was August, that it makes sense that September was his worst month, and that he learned the offense (and the coordinator learned to call towards his strengths more as well) as time went on. Two t-freshmen wrs (and let’s not forget, 2 super-duper slow t-fresh wrs) growing up will definitely help, but we have to have some speedster step-up. Lining up 2 TE’s (with one in the slot) and the two t-soph wrs just makes this team too slow and has zero opportunity to throw the ball vertically (and scouting reports have shown that these young WRs simply cannot run by you when they run 4.7 and 4.8 40’s). Knowles stepping up or Newsome stepping up would surely help (would have loved Carlis Parker back, he had some speed). I don’t know what sort of speed Jaylen Bradshaw has, but hopefully he has some, because it is needed.
Lastly, something that may help on early downs is actually using the rbs to catch passes (other than screens). Check downs would be nice for a line that never blocks, for a slow wr corps, and for a QB with a weak arm….it just makes too much sense for our personnel.
Well I think that halving and thriding of the field is due to his arm strength.
Scot is a big passing Triangle guy (so am I).
Which is inherently sided as 1/3rd or 1/2 of the field goes.
And methinks he is trying to roll M.B. away from some deflections as he is just at 6′ tall.
Or in other words, I’m not sure how you fix ^that^?
Though that was a great “slow” point.
Yah; big 10-4! No kidding there.
Again, not real sure we can fix that one; either.
(though I’d flood zones on VT all day, as my secondary should have a recovery time speed
advantage and this could bait VT into INT’s. With my guys playing the ball; not the man)
b.street
I agree with every thing that was attempted to be said except the chance of him being a top 4-6 QB. Brewer has physical limitations. 1. He is too short. If I am a def. coord. I scheme my pass rush to block VT’s predominant sight lanes for passes. Makes Brewer hold the ball longer. Means more sacks and throw aways. 2. He is not athletic enough to consistently take it down and make something happen when the pass play breaks down.
Those are fair points.
He does hold the ball longer.
(great Eye!)
Yes, I teach my guys to be hands up when rushing him.
There was a Roanoke Times pic of him sitting down on his throws published already this Spring. A Jr.High kid might could deflect some of his throws, his release point can be that low.
b.street
Cosidering Brewer had:
1-Bad Line
2-No running game
3- True frosh WR’s
4- Terrible starting field position (don’t return out of endzonePLEASE)
5- Bizaar play calling
I thought he did very well 90%+ of the time & was ream MVP
Just to beat uva, the way he did=M.v.p.!
agry,
b.street