Orange Bowl predict: I’m fenced. As the recent Hokie news has n0t

By: bourbonstreet |

been favorable; (V.Hall’s jet-sking tweaked Knee, Ore sitting the first 15 minutes of play, could be longer, ‘pending on who has possession to start the 2nd-Quarter). On the other hand, my KU spy’s feel pretty good, as KU was a bit of a M*A*S*H unit to close their 2007 regular season down. Therefore, they were the team that could stand some real live Rest, (in the kla-assic Rest vs. Rust downtime argument). Whereas we were playing our best ball of the year (just like the close of 2006 I’ll remind you). So we are in danger of some real-live rust.

But enough Pigskin Philosophy 1o1, oh bourbonmus maximius. Tell us who will win?

Here’s what I’m looking for, or you might say what I’m ‘fraid of: SG will cool down. You read it here first. If we win, it will be courtesy of T-mobile’s national coming out party. Sans Bore, I doubt we run much of anywhere in the first Quarter (unless TT does). Glennon will start. So KU has a much easier match-up for 25% of the game, thanks to Mr. “My tardy-bell don’t speak “brrrrrring!”” himself. Further, Glennon has never been a BIGgame prime-time Qb in my book. Check it out. (primtime means just that; a showcase game with no split coverage, mostly nitetime games in fact)

Sean Glennon in primetime (date): Pass Attempts, Yards, Completes, TD:INT, Sacks

  • @ B.C. 2006, 23-34, 148 yards, 67 %, 0:2, 3 sacks on -27 rushing.
  • @ MiaFla 2006, 5-19, 86 yards, 26%, 0:1, 5 sacks on -16 rushing.
  • CFA Bowl 2006, 13-26, 94 yards, 50%, 0:3, 3 sacks on -9 rushing.
  • @ LSU 2007, 2-10, 16 yards, 20%, 0:1, 1 sack on -2 rushing.
  • B.C. 2007, 15-25, 149 yards, 60%, 1:0, 3 sacks on +23 rushing.
  • FSU 2007, 1-4, 3 yards, 25%, 0:0, 2 sacks on +10 rushing.
  • I see several things there. o-n-l-y 1 TD passing, against 7 completes the wrong way. I do see a bit better primetime SG at home (vs. B.C. and FSU to close the year). But I still see a lot of sacks, and very little raw (passing plus rushing) yardage generated no matter how you slice it.

Now mix in the fact that our Rb’s have been “mightly” Casey’s of pass-blockers when it comes to picking up the Blitz all year, now mix in the fact that one of the top-2 at doing such is sitting down, and the smaller guy is standing in. That makes for a poor start vs. the KU LB’s who combine for well over 40 TFL on the year, and vs. a defensive team that is 10th in TFL on the year nationally, at just south of 8 per game; by one Sean Glennon to me. Further, slow starting Sean Glennon does not promise to be swift closing Sean Glennon, so I’ll say KU leads 10-3 after one. (Hokie Punt Block, drive stalls, but we nail a 30-something yard FGA)

But once Bore does return, this game will be decided, one way ore the other. The 1st-Quarter is simply a scripted outcome intermission to me. As I was soooooo badly hoping that Bore would finally be at ore (pun intended) very close to 100% of where he was in 2006, for the first time in 2007, for this very Orange Bowl game. I suppose the PATT or half-full way to look at it is that KU will be facing a very well-rested Bore somewhere in the 2nd-quarter. Bore’s entry into the game will tell the Orange Bowl tale to me. But the explosion either will, or will not be there early-on. Either Bore jump-cuts his way to a Hokie win, say 29-19. Or we are in for a struggling dog-fight of a nite, and we are on the ass end of what happened to Texas in 1995 (say 30-20 KU).

  • Playing Surface: natural Grass
  • Pay-off per team: $17 million
  • TV network: FOX
  • Announcers: Kenny Albert, Daryl Johnston, Coach Barry Alvarez, with Jenne Zelasko on the SL’s (that’s her on the right).
  • KU all-time Bowl Record: 4-6
  • VT all-time Bowl Record 7-13

So I’m gonna split that difference, and predict that KU outgains us, but Beamerball, or Bud’s lunchpail crew (thought Hall’s hurt indicates this to be Pride & Joy or maybe E.R. ripping off a major “He, could, go, all, the, way!” return for 6); will make 1 more BIG play than KU, to save an O&M nail-biting, TSL.com server crashing, Admiral Husband E. Kimmel blame-game, shark-jumping, MB scrolling outta control, “MY BOARD!”, the sky—–>9.81m/s——>”doinks” chicken-little right on the head…………kinda nite. Virginia Tech 29, KU 25. b’street