Very much the blue-blood thing to do, this (Baltimore, Md.) Preakness Saturday afternoon 6:45pm post-time socialite scene. And you need not be some top shelf single malt flavor of blue-blood, or that entire dressy, tony, or cosmopolitan bourgeoisie, to appreciate the most exciting 3 minutes in all of sport.
There may however be some weather in the forecast, could be a good day for mudders if this second leg of the Triple Crown track takes some water. There will be some Black Eyed Susan(s) and crab-cakes in more than one tummy come Saturday evening over in Maryland. Although who will win the 2016 Preakness Stakes, –and what kind of realistic all the time chances does the Kentucky Derby winner (Nyquist) really have here?
Overall Triple Thoughts:
If you ask me? And by reading these very words, you effectively did… if you ask me, this 2016 three-year old crop is pretty much as we said we expected it to be three weeks ago. Because what I’m seeing here is three thinner tiers of ponies this racing season. There is a effective, albeit not all-time Top-2. Namely Kentucky Derby champion Nyquist and his perennial just good enough to be runner-up Exaggerator. With Exaggerator perhaps playing the roll of all three legs of the Triple Crown runner-up who was always just good enough to get beat Alydar to the 1978 Triple Crown winning Affirmed. After that however, we see a slimmer second tier of contending horses, and an even thinner tertiary tier of prospects or long(er)-shot ponies.
Or in other words, though no fault of Nyquit’s very own, who -or how many- fellow horses will Nyquist truly have to beat? Nyquist may very well be the secondary threepeat version of da Bulls who mowed through three straight non-all-time N.b.a. Finals teams in the late 1990’s; through no fault -and mutually to no credit- of their very own.
As none of the proverbial second tier horses here (Destin, Mor Spirt, Outwork, et al) have even bothered to enter the 2016 Preakness Stakes. And the aforementioned tertiary level of ponies just does not appear to have the chops to do any more than that. I.e. merely enter the race…
Still yet, Stradivari is here and opens from the outside post position. Uncle Lino could be the sneaking speed horse off a great break and a clean finish. Collected may help the daring horse handicapper fill out their tri or super-fecta, and yet where is the credible threat power to Nyquist in the 2016 Preakness Stakes not named Exaggerator, the forecast rain/mud mix or some kind of bad start or bumpy, congested, entangled run? As this one may or may not be a two horse race, although it sure does not look like much more than a three horse race at best, to me; if that…
Accordingly, ergo, to wit,… if I am Nyquist’s handlers; deep deep down with my hand placed upon the horse racing Bible, …even though I know I may not have a great horse on my hands, I do feel I have a pretty fair to middling one, possibly even a pretty dang good one.
And one who does not have to beat more than two or three other ponies at maximum in this second leg of the 2016 Triple Crown. Therefore, I’ve gotta side with Nyquist until proven otherwise as he appears to be the best of a middleocore to B- caliber 2016 three-year old lot.
- Nyquist to Show
- …and I’ll leave it at that until we get to the equine marathon otherwise known as the Belmont Stakes next time out, God willing..